Werner's Blog — Opinion, Analysis, Commentary
Wind power is growing in British Columbia

BC Hydro announced the winners of its 2025 Call for Power, which follows last year's call for power that I wrote about in my December 2024 blog British Columbia gets more power. BC Hydro will add even more wind farms to its generation portfolio in cooperation with independent power producers and their First Nations partners. Four bids won the competition, and one of them—the Nicola Wind Project—will become the largest wind farm in Canada with 496 MW nameplate capacity.

Project Size
[MW]
Location First Nations Partner
Bessie Wind Project 251 Dawson Creek West Moberly First Nations
Nicola Wind Project 496 West Kelowna Upper Nicola Band
Sweetwater Wind Project 210 Dawson Creek West Moberly First Nations
Taylor South Wind Project 201 Taylor Saulteau First Nations

In total, 1,158 MW of nameplate capacity will be provided by the four wind farms, for a total expected output of 3,500 GWh. This implies an expected utilization rate of 34.5%. The remuneration for the power producer's output will follow the same time deliver factor arrangement that I discussed in my December 2024 blog How BC Hydro incentivizes independent power producers.

Quarter Cost
[$mio]
Energy
[GWh]
Avg. Price
[$/MWh]
2024Q1 325   2,450   132.65  
2024Q2 282   3,742   75.36  
2024Q3 377   3,847   98.00  
2024Q4 346   3,098   111.68  
2025Q1 252   2,233   112.85  
2025Q2 348   4,118   84.51  
2025Q3 390   4,026   96.87  
2025Q4 360   3,262   110.36  

The table on the left shows B.C. Hydro's power purchases over the last eight quarters, covering calendar years 2024 and 2025, as obtained from financial reports. I had reported a longer time series in my 2024 blog. Quarterly energy purchases eclipsed 4,000 GWh during the second and third quarter of 2025, with purchase prices around $85-$113/MWh.

B.C.'s electricity demand is growing somewhat faster than expected. Overall, electricity demand is expected to grow by about 15 percent by 2030, driven by a combination of population growth, new industrial activity, and the shift to clean energy. BC Hydro submitted its new 2025 Integrated Resource Plan to the BC Utilities Commission last December. The Calls for Power 2024 and 2025 at substantial new generation capacity in coming years. Furthermore, BC Hydro plans to add a sixth generating unit at the Revelstoke Dam, increasing capacity by 500 megawatts. Upgrades to units 1 through 5 of the Shrum Generating Station at the W.A.C. Bennett Dam, pictured below, will add yet another 100 capacity.

W.A.C. Bennett Dam and G.M. Shrum Generating Station

Image Credit: Werner Antweiler

How much more electricity demand will come from which source will be rather important going forward. New data centres can draw significant power. Take for example the proposed two Telus data centres in Vancouver, which together will draw some 126 MW of power. Modern AI data centers operate at a near-constant 85% to 95% utilization of their contracted electrical capacity. This translates into about 990—GWh/year of electricity demand.

Two data centers using up close to one Terawatthour [TWh] over the course of a year is no small amount. Look at the table below to see how much electricity BC was producing over the last three years. Total supply in 2025 was 67.3 TWh, so 1 TWh is about 1.5%. These are non-negligible additions to demand. (Telus is said to have 85 MW capacity secured from BC Hydro [source] so far; the entire clulster is to grow to 150 MW by 2032).

Year Average
Load
[GW]
Annual
Output
[TWh]
Maximum
Load
[GW]
Maximum
Load
[Hour]
Minimum
Load
[GW]
Minimum
Load
[Hour]
2023 7.35  64.38  10.73  Feb 24, 09h 5.08  Jul 26, 04h
2024 7.57  66.49  12.33  Jan 12, 18h 5.30  Sep 10, 04h
2025 7.68  67.29  11.36  Feb 3, 18h 5.36  Jun 4, 04h

The other major industrial demand source will come from proposed liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals, such as the Ksi Lisims project with 12 million tonnes per year (MTPA) capacity. At first, this project would run its electric drives on power provided by temporary natural gas generators. According to a report from GE Vernova, Decarbonizing the LNG industry: Full electric solution for LNG liquefaction trains, the Freeport LNG terminal on Quintana Island in Texas is powered by 675 MW electric turbines for delivering 15.3 MTPA. This provides a useful benchmark: about 45 MW electric capacity per one MTPA of LNG. Ksi Lisims proposed 12 MTPA thus would probably need around 540 MW, which in turn (assuming an 85% utilization rate) translates into about 4,000 GWh/year of electricity demand. That is roughly a 6% addition to BC's electricity demand, and more than the power provided by the four new wind farms.

‘New demand from industrial sources eclipses growing power needs for EV charging.’

And how much power will be needed for charging up our growing fleet of electric vehicles? Consider a typical B.C. motorists driving 12,800 km/year, and a typical EV (allowing for heating the car in the winter) consumes about 0.20 kWh/km; some vehicles are more efficient, and some heavier EVs are lesss efficient. This calculates as 2.56 MWh/year per vehicle. There were about 3.4 million light-duty vehicles on B.C.'s roads in 2024, according to Statistics Canada data. About 5 percent were electric, a total of about 170,000. Let's assume, optimistically, that B.C. can grow its fleet of electric vehicles by 2.0 percent-points per year. That would mean getting to a fleet share of 25% by 2035, which would translate into adding about 68,000 EVs per year. Multiply by 2.56 MWh/year, and this gives 174 GWh/year of power supply that needs to be added each year. This is small fry compared to the new demand from new data centres and new LNG terminals. So don't worry about EVs overwhelming BC's power grid. The real worry should be about rapid growth from industrial sources. And more about managing electricity demand from data centres in my next blog.

Posted on Friday, June 5, 2026 at 11:11 — #Energy | #BC
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© 2026  Prof. Werner Antweiler, University of British Columbia.
[Sauder School of Business] [The University of British Columbia]